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Population Estimation/ Biometry - current studies

Jeff Hatfield

Email: jhatfield@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Range-wide Metapopulation Viability Analysis for the Golden-cheeked Warbler

Survival and Reintroduction of the Laysan Teal

Publications

Hatfield, J. S., K. E. Myrick, M. A. Huston, F. W. Weckerly, and M. C. Green. 2013. Vascular Plant and Vertebrate Species Richness in National Parks of the Eastern United States. Natural Resource Technical Report NPS/NCR/NCRO/NRTR-2013/002. U.S. National Parks Service, Washington, D.C. vi, 50 pp. PDF

Reynolds, M. H., K. N. Courtot, C. M. Krause, N. E. Seavy, P. Hartzell, and J. S. Hatfield. 2013. Dynamics of seabird colonies vulnerable to sea-level rise at French Figate Shoals, Hawaii. Technical Report HCSU-037 . Hawaii Cooperative Studies Unit, University of Hawaii at Hilo, Hilo, Hawaii. iv, 32 pp. PDF

Reynolds, M. H., E. Weiser, I. Jamieson, and J. S. Hatfield. 2013. Demographic variation, reintroduction, and persistence of an island duck (Anas laysanensis). Journal of Wildlife Management 77(6):1094-1103. Abstract

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Paula Henry

Email: phenry@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Biology and Monitoring of Diamondback Terrapins in the Chesapeake Bay

The Eastern Box Turtle at USGS Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, MD

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Jim Hines

Email: jhines@usgs.gov

Website: http://www.mbr-pwrc.usgs.gov/software/

Areas of Study

Development of Computer Software for the Analysis of Animal Population Parameters

Publications

Cerqueira, M. C., M. Mario Cohn-Haft, C. F. Vargas, C. E. Nader, C. B. Andretti, T. V. V. Costa, M. Sberze, J. E. Hines, and G. Ferraz. 2013. Rare or elusive? A test of expert knowledge about rarity of Amazon forest birds. Diversity and Distributions 19(7):710–721. Abstract

Eaton, M. J., P. T. Hughes, J. E. Hines, and J. D. Nichols. 2014. Testing metapopulation concepts: Effects of patch characteristics and neighborhood occupancy on the dynamics of an endangered lagomorph. Oikos 123(6):662-676. Abstract

Fernández-Chacón, A., C. Stefanescu, M. Genovart, J. D. Nichols, J. E. Hines, F. Páramo, M. Turco, and D. Oro. 2014. Determinants of extinction-colonization dynamics in Mediterranean butterflies: the role of landscape, climate and local habitat features. Journal of Animal Ecology 83(1):276-285. Abstract

Péron, G., J. Walker, J. J. Rotella, J. E. Hines, and J. D. Nichols. 2014. Estimating nest abundance while accounting for time-to-event processes and imperfect detection. Ecology Online Early Abstract

Pillay, R., D. A. W. Miller, J. E. Hines, A. A. Joshi, and M. D. Madhusudan. 2014. Accounting for false positives improves estimates of occupancy from key informant interviews . Diversity and Distributions 20(2):223-235. Abstract

Yackulic, C. B., J. Reid, J. D. Nichols, J. E. Hines, R. Davis, and E. Forsman. 2014. The roles of competition and habitat in the dynamics of populations and species distributions. Ecology 95(2):265-279. Abstract

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William Link

Email: wlink@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Hierarchical Models for Estimation of Population Parameters

Development of Statistical Methods for Biological Applications

Publications

Barker, R. J. and W. A. Link. 2013. Bayesian Multimodel Inference by RJMCMC: A Gibbs Sampling Approach. American Statistician 67(3):150-156. Abstract

Cam, E., O. Gimenez, R. Alpizar-Jara, L. M. Aubry, M. Authier, E. G. Cooch, D. N. Koons, W. A. Link, J.-Y. Monnat, J. D. Nichols, J. J. Rotella, J. A. Royle, and R. Pradel. 2013. Looking for a needle in a haystack: Inference about individual fitness components in a heterogeneous population. Oikos 122(5):739-753. Abstract

Fellers, G. M., P. M. Kleeman, D. A. W. Miller, B. J. Halstead, and W. A. Link. 2013. Population size, survival, growth, and movements of Rana sierrae. Herpetologica 69(2):147-162. Abstract

Higgs, M. D., W. A. Link, G. C. White, M. A. Haroldson, and D. D. Bjornlie. 2013. Insights into the latent multinomial model through mark-resight data on female grizzly bears with cubs-of-the-year. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics 18(4):556-577. Abstract

Link, W. A. 2013. A cautionary note on the discrete uniform prior for the binomial N. Ecology 94(10):2173-2179. Abstract

Sauer, J. R., W. A. Link, J. E. Fallon, K. L. Pardieck, and D. J. Jr. Ziolkowski. 2013. The North American Breeding Bird Survey 1966-2011: Summary Analysis and Species Accounts. North American Fauna 79:1-32. Abstract

Zimmerman, G. S., J. J. Millspaugh, W. A. Link, R. J. Woods, and R. J. Gutiérrez. 2013. A flexible Bayesian hierarchical approach for analyzing spatial and temporal variation in the fecal corticosterone levels in birds when there is imperfect knowledge of individual identity. General and Comparative Endocrinology 194:64-70. Abstract

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Jim Nichols

Email: jnichols@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Estimation of Wind Farm Mortality for Golden Eagles

Development of Methods Associated with Animal Population Dynamics

Development of Patch Occupancy Models for Assessing the Spatial Distribution of Organisms

Statistical Research at USGS - Amphibian Research and Monitoring Initiative

Publications

Clement, M. J., T. J. Rodhouse, P. C. Ormsbee, J. M. Szewczak, and J. D. Nichols. 2014. Accounting for false-positive acoustic detections of bats using occupancy models. Journal of Applied Ecology Accepted Article Abstract

Eaton, M. J., P. T. Hughes, J. E. Hines, and J. D. Nichols. 2014. Testing metapopulation concepts: Effects of patch characteristics and neighborhood occupancy on the dynamics of an endangered lagomorph. Oikos 123(6):662-676. Abstract

Eaton, M. J., J. Martin, J. D. Nichols, C. McIntyre, M. C. McCluskie, J. A. Schmutz, B. L. Lubow, and M. C. Runge. 2014. Application of Threshold Concepts to Ecological Management Problems: Occupancy of Golden Eagles in Denali National Park, Alaska. Pages 67-86 in Glenn R. Guntenspergen, editor. Application of Threshold Concepts in Natural Resource Decision Making. Springer, NewYork. i-vi, 327 pp. Abstract

Fernández-Chacón, A., C. Stefanescu, M. Genovart, J. D. Nichols, J. E. Hines, F. Páramo, M. Turco, and D. Oro. 2014. Determinants of extinction-colonization dynamics in Mediterranean butterflies: the role of landscape, climate and local habitat features. Journal of Animal Ecology 83(1):276-285. Abstract

Nichols, J. D. 2014. The Role of Abundance Estimates in Conservation Decision-Making. Pages 117-131 in Luciano M. Verdade, Maria Carolina Lyra-Jorge, and Carlos I. Piña, editors. Applied Ecology and Human Dimensions in Biological Conservation. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg. viii, 228 p. pp. Abstract

Péron, G., J. Walker, J. J. Rotella, J. E. Hines, and J. D. Nichols. 2014. Estimating nest abundance while accounting for time-to-event processes and imperfect detection. Ecology Online Early Abstract

Wen, Z., J. D. Nichols, K. H. Pollock, and P. M. Waser. 2014. A robust design capture-recapture model with multiple age classes augmented with population assignment data. Environmental and Ecological Statistics 21(1):41-59. Abstract

Wen, Z., K. H. Pollock, J. D. Nichols, P. M. Waser, and W. Cao. 2014. Using imputation and mixture model approaches to integrate multi-state capture-recapture models with assignment information. Biometrics 70(2):323-334. Abstract

Yackulic, C. B., J. Reid, J. D. Nichols, J. E. Hines, R. Davis, and E. Forsman. 2014. The roles of competition and habitat in the dynamics of populations and species distributions. Ecology 95(2):265-279. Abstract

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Allan O’Connell

Email: aoconnell@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Coastal Wetland Dynamics and Wildlife Populations: Modeling the Effects of Sea Level Rise and Landscape Change

Ecology of Raccoons within Cape Lookout National Seashore, North Carolina, and the Efficacy of Raccoon Removal as a Management Tool for Protecting Rare, Threatened, and Endangered Species

Estimation of Population Densities for the Florida Panther

Assessing Endangered Marsh Rabbit and Woodrat Habitat use and Predator Population Dynamic

Publications

Parsons, A. W., T. R. Simons, A. F. O'Connell, Jr., and M. K. Stoskopf. 2013. Demographics, diet, movements, and survival of an isolated, unmanaged raccoon Procyon lotor (Procyonidae, Carnivora) population on the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Mammalia 77(1):21-30. Abstract

Sollmann, R., B. Gardner, R. B. Chandler, D. B. Shindle, D. P. Onorato, J. A. Royle, and A. F. O'Connell. 2013. Using multiple data sources provides density estimates for endangered Florida panther. Journal of Applied Ecology. 50(4):961-968. Abstract

Sollmann, R., B. Gardner, A. W. Parsons, J. J. Stocking, B. T. McClintock, T. R. Simons, K. H. Pollock, and A. F. O'Connell. 2013. A spatial mark-resight model augmented with telemetry data. Ecology 94(3):553-559. Abstract

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Keith Pardieck

Email: kpardieck@usgs.gov

Website: http://www.pwrc.usgs.gov/bbs/

Areas of Study

Estimating Trend and Detection Probability Using Data from the Breeding Bird Survey

Publications

Bled, F., J. Sauer, K. Pardieck, P. Doherty, and J. A. Royle. 2013. Modeling Trends from North American Breeding Bird Survey Data: A Spatially Explicit Approach. PLOS ONE 8(12):e81867. Abstract

Sauer, J. R., W. A. Link, J. E. Fallon, K. L. Pardieck, and D. J. Jr. Ziolkowski. 2013. The North American Breeding Bird Survey 1966-2011: Summary Analysis and Species Accounts. North American Fauna 79:1-32. Abstract

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J. Andy Royle

Email: aroyle@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Hierarchical Models of Animal Abundance and Occurrence

Estimation of Population Densities for the Florida Panther

Estimating Trend and Detection Probability Using Data from the Breeding Bird Survey

Spatial Capture-Recapture Models to Estimate Abundance and Density of Animal Populations

Publications

Cohen, E. B., J. A. Hostetler, J. A. Royle, and P. P. Marra. 2014. Estimating migratory connectivity of birds when re-encounter probabilities are heterogeneous. Ecology and Evolution 4(9):1659-1670. Abstract

Fiske, I. J., J. A. Royle, and K. Gross. 2014. Inference for finite-sample trajectories in dynamic multi-state site-occupancy models using hidden Markov model smoothing. Environmental and Ecological Statistics 21(2):313-328. Abstract

Royle, J. A., R. B. Chandler, R. Sollmann, and B. Gardner. 2014. Spatial Capture-Recapture. Academic Press, Waltham, MA. xxix, 577 pp. Abstract

Royle, J. A., R. B. Chandler, C. C. Sun, and A. K. Fuller. 2014. Reply to Efford on “Integrating Resource Selection Information with Spatial Capture-Recapture". Methods in Ecology and Evolution Online Early Abstract

Royle, J. A. and S. J. Converse. 2014. Hierarchical spatial capture–recapture models: modelling population density in stratified populations. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 5(1):37-43. Abstract

Sun, C. C., A. K. Fuller, and J. A. Royle. 2014. Trap Configuration and Spacing Influences Parameter Estimates in Spatial Capture-Recapture Models. PLoS ONE 9(2):e88025. Abstract

Zipkin, E. F., T. S. Sillett, E. H. C. Grant, R. B. Chandler, and J. A. Royle. 2014. Inferences about population dynamics from count data using multistate models: a comparison to capture–recapture approaches. Ecology and Evolution 4(4):417-426. Abstract

Zipkin, E. F., J. T. Thorson, K. See, H. J. Lynch, E. H. C. Grant, Y. Kanno, R. B. Chandler, B. H. Letcher, and J. A. Royle. 2014. Modeling structured population dynamics using data from unmarked individuals. Ecology 95(1):22-29. Abstract

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Michael Runge

Email: mrunge@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Modeling, Estimation, and Adaptive Management of Golden and Bald Eagle Fatalities on Wind Facilities

Publications

Runge, M. C. 2013. Active adaptive management for reintroduction of an animal population. Journal of Wildlife Management 77(6):1135–1144. Abstract

Eaton, M. J., J. Martin, J. D. Nichols, C. McIntyre, M. C. McCluskie, J. A. Schmutz, B. L. Lubow, and M. C. Runge. 2014. Application of Threshold Concepts to Ecological Management Problems: Occupancy of Golden Eagles in Denali National Park, Alaska. Pages 67-86 in Glenn R. Guntenspergen, editor. Application of Threshold Concepts in Natural Resource Decision Making. Springer, NewYork. i-vi, 327 pp. Abstract

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John Sauer

Email: jrsauer@usgs.gov

Website: http://www.pwrc.usgs.gov/bbs/

     http://www.stateofthebirds.org/

Areas of Study

Evaluation of Representativeness of Sampling of the North American Breeding Bird Survey

Population Change and Abundance of Black Ducks and Mallards in Eastern North America

Design and Analysis of Surveys for Estimation of Temporal and Spatial Change in Animal Populations

Estimating Trend and Detection Probability Using Data from the Breeding Bird Survey

Publications

Bled, F., J. Sauer, K. Pardieck, P. Doherty, and J. A. Royle. 2013. Modeling Trends from North American Breeding Bird Survey Data: A Spatially Explicit Approach. PLOS ONE 8(12):e81867. Abstract

Mattsson, B. J., E. F. Zipkin, B. Gardner, P. J. Blank, J. R. Sauer, and J. A. Royle. 2013. Explaining local-scale species distributions: Relative contributions of spatial autocorrelation and landscape heterogeneity for an avian assemblage. PLoS ONE 8(2):e55097. Abstract

Millsap, B. A., G. S. Zimmerman, J. R. Sauer, R. M. Nielson, M. Otto, E. Bjerre, and R. Murphy. 2013. Golden eagle population trends in the western united states: 1968-2010. Journal of Wildlife Management 77(7):1436-1448. Abstract

Sauer, J. R., P. J. Blank, E. F. Zipkin, J. E. Fallon, and F. W. Fallon. 2013. Using multi-species occupancy models in structured decision making on managed lands. Journal of Wildlife Management 77(1):117-127. Abstract

Sauer, J. R., W. A. Link, J. E. Fallon, K. L. Pardieck, and D. J. Jr. Ziolkowski. 2013. The North American Breeding Bird Survey 1966-2011: Summary Analysis and Species Accounts. North American Fauna 79:1-32. Abstract

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Jeff Spendelow

Email: jspendelow@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Modeling Sex-Specific Demographic Rates in Metapopulations

Publications

Palestis, B. G., I. C. T. Nisbet, J. J. Hatch, P. Szczys, and J. A. Spendelow. 2012. Morphometric sexing of Northwest Atlantic Roseate Terns. Waterbirds 35(3):479-484. Abstract

Watson, M. J., J. A. Spendelow, and J. J. Hatch. 2012. Post-fledging brood and care division in the roseate tern (Sterna dougallii). Journal of Ethology 30(1):29-34. Abstract

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H. Brian Underwood

Email: hbunderwood@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Estimation of Density and Abundance of Biological Populations on National Parks and Wildlife

Publications

Haase, C. G. and H. B. Underwood. 2013. Integrating thermal constraints into habitat suitability for moose in the Adirondack State Park, New York. Alces 49:49-64. Abstract

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Nimish B. Vyas

Email: nvyas@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Managing Free-Roaming Cats at the Patuxent Research Refuge

Publications

Borges, S. L., N. B. Vyas, and M. C. Christman. 2013. The Influence of Study Species Selection on Estimates of Pesticide Exposure in Free-Ranging Birds. Environmental Management Online Early October Abstract

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Last Updated: July 2014

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