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Population Estimation/ Biometry - current studies

Jeff Hatfield

Email: jhatfield@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Range-wide Metapopulation Viability Analysis for the Golden-cheeked Warbler

Survival and Reintroduction of the Laysan Teal

Publications

Hatfield, J. S., K. E. Myrick, M. A. Huston, F. W. Weckerly, and M. C. Green. 2013. Vascular Plant and Vertebrate Species Richness in National Parks of the Eastern United States. Natural Resource Technical Report NPS/NCR/NCRO/NRTR-2013/002. U.S. National Parks Service, Washington, D.C. vi, 50 pp. PDF

Reynolds, M. H., K. N. Courtot, C. M. Krause, N. E. Seavy, P. Hartzell, and J. S. Hatfield. 2013. Dynamics of seabird colonies vulnerable to sea-level rise at French Figate Shoals, Hawaii. Technical Report HCSU-037 . Hawaii Cooperative Studies Unit, University of Hawaii at Hilo, Hilo, Hawaii. iv, 32 pp. PDF

Reynolds, M. H., E. Weiser, I. Jamieson, and J. S. Hatfield. 2013. Demographic variation, reintroduction, and persistence of an island duck (Anas laysanensis). Journal of Wildlife Management 77(6):1094-1103. Abstract

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Paula Henry

Email: phenry@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Biology and Monitoring of Diamondback Terrapins in the Chesapeake Bay

The Eastern Box Turtle at USGS Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, MD

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Jim Hines

Email: jhines@usgs.gov

Website: http://www.mbr-pwrc.usgs.gov/software/

Areas of Study

Development of Computer Software for the Analysis of Animal Population Parameters

Publications

Cerqueira, M. C., M. Mario Cohn-Haft, C. F. Vargas, C. E. Nader, C. B. Andretti, T. V. V. Costa, M. Sberze, J. E. Hines, and G. Ferraz. 2013. Rare or elusive? A test of expert knowledge about rarity of Amazon forest birds. Diversity and Distributions 19(7):710–721. Abstract

Fernández-Chacón, A., C. Stefanescu, M. Genovart, J. D. Nichols, J. E. Hines, F. Páramo, M. Turco, and D. Oro. 2013. Determinants of extinction-colonization dynamics in Mediterranean butterflies: the role of landscape, climate and local habitat features. Journal of Animal Ecology Online Early Aug 19 Abstract

Kendall, W. L., J. E. Hines, J. D. Nichols, and E. H. C. Grant. 2013. Relaxing the closure assumption in occupancy models: Staggered arrival and departure times. Ecology 94(3):610-617. Abstract

Miller, D. A. W., J. D. Nichols, J. A. Gude, L. N. Rich, K. M. Podruzny, J. E. Hines, and M. S. Mitchell. 2013. Determining occurrence dynamics when false positives occur: estimating the range dynamics of wolves from public survey data. PLoS ONE 8(6):e65808. Abstract

Nichols, J. M., J. E. Hines, and J. D. Nichols. 2013. Selecting among competing models of electro-optic,infrared camera system range performance. Optical Engineering 52(11):113108. Abstract

Péron, G., J. E. Hines, J. D. Nichols, W. L. Kendall, K. A. Peters, and D. S. Mizrahi. 2013. Estimation of bird and bat mortality at wind-power farms with superpopulation models. Journal of Applied Ecology 50(4):902-911. Abstract

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William Link

Email: wlink@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Hierarchical Models for Estimation of Population Parameters

Development of Statistical Methods for Biological Applications

Publications

Barker, R. J. and W. A. Link. 2013. Bayesian Multimodel Inference by RJMCMC: A Gibbs Sampling Approach. American Statistician 67(3):150-156. Abstract

Cam, E., O. Gimenez, R. Alpizar-Jara, L. M. Aubry, M. Authier, E. G. Cooch, D. N. Koons, W. A. Link, J.-Y. Monnat, J. D. Nichols, J. J. Rotella, J. A. Royle, and R. Pradel. 2013. Looking for a needle in a haystack: Inference about individual fitness components in a heterogeneous population. Oikos 122(5):739-753. Abstract

Fellers, G. M., P. M. Kleeman, D. A. W. Miller, B. J. Halstead, and W. A. Link. 2013. Population size, survival, growth, and movements of Rana sierrae. Herpetologica 69(2):147-162. Abstract

Higgs, M. D., W. A. Link, G. C. White, M. A. Haroldson, and D. D. Bjornlie. 2013. Insights into the latent multinomial model through mark-resight data on female grizzly bears with cubs-of-the-year. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics 18(4):556-577. Abstract

Link, W. A. 2013. A cautionary note on the discrete uniform prior for the binomial N. Ecology 94(10):2173-2179. Abstract

Zimmerman, G. S., J. J. Millspaugh, W. A. Link, R. J. Woods, and R. J. Gutiérrez. 2013. A flexible Bayesian hierarchical approach for analyzing spatial and temporal variation in the fecal corticosterone levels in birds when there is imperfect knowledge of individual identity. General and Comparative Endocrinology 194:64-70. Abstract

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Jim Nichols

Email: jnichols@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Estimation of Wind Farm Mortality for Golden Eagles

Development of Methods Associated with Animal Population Dynamics

Development of Patch Occupancy Models for Assessing the Spatial Distribution of Organisms

Statistical Research at USGS - Amphibian Research and Monitoring Initiative

Publications

Fernandez-Chacón, A., C. Stefanescu, M. Genovart, J. D. Nichols, J. E. Hines, F. Paramo, M. Turco, and D. Oro. 2014. Determinants of extinction-colonization dynamics in Mediterranean butterflies: the role of landscape, climate and local habitat features. Journal of Animal Ecology 83(1):276-285. Abstract

Bailey, L. L., D. I. MacKenzie, and J. D. Nichols. 2013. Advances and applications of occupancy models. Methods in Ecology and Evolution Online Early September 4 Abstract

Cam, E., O. Gimenez, R. Alpizar-Jara, L. M. Aubry, M. Authier, E. G. Cooch, D. N. Koons, W. A. Link, J.-Y. Monnat, J. D. Nichols, J. J. Rotella, J. A. Royle, and R. Pradel. 2013. Looking for a needle in a haystack: Inference about individual fitness components in a heterogeneous population. Oikos 122(5):739-753. Abstract

Fernindez-Chacón, A., C. Stefanescu, M. Genovart, J. D. Nichols, J. E. Hines, F. Piramo, M. Turco, and D. Oro. 2013. Determinants of extinction-colonization dynamics in Mediterranean butterflies: the role of landscape, climate and local habitat features. Journal of Animal Ecology Online Early Aug 19 Abstract

Grant, E. H. C., E. F. Zipkin, J. D. Nichols, and J. P. Campbell. 2013. A strategy for monitoring and managing declines in an amphibian community. Conservation Biology Online Early Sep tember 3 Abstract

Johnson, F. A., R. M. Dorazio, T. D. Castellón, J. Martin, J. O. Garcia, and J. D. Nichols. 2013. Tailoring point counts for inference about avian density: Dealing with nondetection and availability. Natural Resource Modeling Online Early Oct 1 Abstract

Kendall, W. L., J. E. Hines, J. D. Nichols, and E. H. C. Grant. 2013. Relaxing the closure assumption in occupancy models: Staggered arrival and departure times. Ecology 94(3):610-617. Abstract

Miller, D. A. W., J. D. Nichols, J. A. Gude, L. N. Rich, K. M. Podruzny, J. E. Hines, and M. S. Mitchell. 2013. Determining occurrence dynamics when false positives occur: estimating the range dynamics of wolves from public survey data. PLoS ONE 8(6):e65808. Abstract

Nichols, J. D. and B. K. Williams. 2013. Adaptive management. Pages A. H. El-Shaarawi and Walter W. Piegorsch, editors. Encyclopedia of Environmetrics. Second edition. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., Hoboken, NJ. Abstract

Nichols, J. M., K. P. Judd, C. C. Olson, J. R. Waterman, and J. D. Nichols . 2013. Estimating detection and identification probabilities in maritime target acquisition. Applied Optics 52(12):2531-2545. Abstract

Péron, G., J. E. Hines, J. D. Nichols, W. L. Kendall, K. A. Peters, and D. S. Mizrahi. 2013. Estimation of bird and bat mortality at wind-power farms with superpopulation models. Journal of Applied Ecology 50(4 ):902-911. Abstract

Rich, L. N., R. E. Russell, E. M. Glenn, M. S. Mitchell, J. A. Gude, K. M. Podruzny, C. A. Sime, K. Laudon, D. E. Ausband, and J. D. Nichols. 2013. Estimating occupancy and predicting numbers of gray wolf packs in Montana using hunter surveys. Journal of Wildlife Management 77(6 ):1280–1289. Abstract

Smith, D. R., C. P. Mcgowan, J. P. Daily, J. D. Nichols, J. A. Sweka, and J. E. Lyons. 2013. Evaluating a multispecies adaptive management framework: Must uncertainty impede effective decision-making? Journal of Applied Ecology online early August 27 Abstract

Wen, Z., J. D. Nichols, K. H. Pollock, and P. M. Waser. 2013. A robust design capture-recapture model with multiple age classes augmented with population assignment data. Environmental and Ecological Statistics online March 29 Abstract

Yackulic, C., R. Chandler, E. F. Zipkin, J. A. Royle, J. D. Nichols, E. H. C. Grant, and S. Veran. 2013. Presence-only modeling using MAXENT: when can we trust the inferences? Methods in Ecology and Evolution 4(3):236-243. Abstract

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Allan O’Connell

Email: aoconnell@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Coastal Wetland Dynamics and Wildlife Populations: Modeling the Effects of Sea Level Rise and Landscape Change

Ecology of Raccoons within Cape Lookout National Seashore, North Carolina, and the Efficacy of Raccoon Removal as a Management Tool for Protecting Rare, Threatened, and Endangered Species

Estimation of Population Densities for the Florida Panther

Assessing Endangered Marsh Rabbit and Woodrat Habitat use and Predator Population Dynamic

Publications

Parsons, A. W., T. R. Simons, A. F. O'Connell, Jr., and M. K. Stoskopf. 2013. Demographics, diet, movements, and survival of an isolated, unmanaged raccoon Procyon lotor (Procyonidae, Carnivora) population on the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Mammalia 77(1):21-30. Abstract

Sollmann, R., B. Gardner, R. B. Chandler, D. B. Shindle, D. P. Onorato, J. A. Royle, and A. F. O'Connell. 2013. Using multiple data sources provides density estimates for endangered Florida panther. Journal of Applied Ecology. 50(4):961-968. Abstract

Sollmann, R., B. Gardner, A. W. Parsons, J. J. Stocking, B. T. McClintock, T. R. Simons, K. H. Pollock, and A. F. O'Connell. 2013. A spatial mark-resight model augmented with telemetry data. Ecology 94(3):553-559. Abstract

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Keith Pardieck

Email: kpardieck@usgs.gov

Website: http://www.pwrc.usgs.gov/bbs/

Areas of Study

Estimating Trend and Detection Probability Using Data from the Breeding Bird Survey

Publications

Bled, F., J. Sauer, K. Pardieck, P. Doherty, and J. A. Royle. 2013. Modeling Trends from North American Breeding Bird Survey Data: A Spatially Explicit Approach. PLOS ONE 8(12):e81867. Abstract

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J. Andy Royle

Email: aroyle@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Hierarchical Models of Animal Abundance and Occurrence

Estimation of Population Densities for the Florida Panther

Estimating Trend and Detection Probability Using Data from the Breeding Bird Survey

Spatial Capture-Recapture Models to Estimate Abundance and Density of Animal Populations

Publications

Royle, J. A., R. B. Chandler, R. Sollmann, and B. Gardner. 2014. Spatial Capture-Recapture. Academic Press, Waltham, MA. xxix, 577 pp. Abstract

Boomer, G. S., G. S. Zimmerman, N. L. Zimpfer, P. R. Garrettson, M. D. Koneff, T. A. Sanders, K. D. Magruder, and J. A. Royle. 2013. Band reporting probabilities for mallards recovered in the United States and Canada. Journal of Wildlife Management 77(5):1059-1066. Abstract

Cam, E., O. Gimenez, R. Alpizar-Jara, L. M. Aubry, M. Authier, E. G. Cooch, D. N. Koons, W. A. Link, J.-Y. Monnat, J. D. Nichols, J. J. Rotella, J. A. Royle, and R. Pradel. 2013. Looking for a needle in a haystack: Inference about individual fitness components in a heterogeneous population. Oikos 122(5):739-753. Abstract

Chandler, R. B. and J. A. Royle. 2013. Spatially explicit models for inference about density in unmarked or partially marked populations. Annals of Applied Statistics 7(2):936-954. Abstract http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aoas/1372338474

Converse, S. J., J. A. Royle, P. H. Adler, R. P. Urbanek, and J. A. Barzen. 2013. A hierarchical nest survival model integrating incomplete temporally varying covariates. Ecology and Evolution 3 (13):4439-4447. Abstract

Fiske, I. J., J. A. Royle, and K. Gross. 2013. Inference for finite-sample trajectories in dynamic multi-state site-occupancy models using hidden Markov model smoothing. Environmental and Ecological Statistics online early June 1 Abstract

Graves, T. A., P. Beier, and J. A. Royle. 2013. Current approaches using genetic distances produce poor estimates of landscape resistance to interindividual dispersal . Molecular Ecology 22(15):3888-3903. Abstract

Mattsson, B. J., E. F. Zipkin, B. Gardner, P. J. Blank, J. R. Sauer, and J. A. Royle. 2013. Explaining local-scale species distributions: Relative contributions of spatial autocorrelation and landscape heterogeneity for an avian assemblage. PLoS ONE 8(2):e55097. Abstract

Royle, J. A., R. B. Chandler, K. Gazenski, and T. A. Graves. 2013. Spatial capture-recapture models for jointly estimating population density and landscape connectivity. Ecology 94(2):287-294. Abstract

Royle, J. A., R. B. Chandler, C. C. Sun, and A. K. Fuller. 2013. Integrating resource selection information with spatial capture-recapture. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 4(6):520-530. Abstract

Sollmann, R., B. Gardner, R. B. Chandler, D. B. Shindle, D. P. Onorato, J. A. Royle, and A. F. O'Connell. 2013. Using multiple data sources provides density estimates for endangered Florida panther. Journal of Applied Ecology. 50(4):961-968. Abstract

Tenan, S., A. Rotger Vallespir, J. M. Igual, T. Moya, J. A. Royle, and G. Tavecchia. 2013. Population abundance, size structure and sex-ratio in an insular lizard. Ecological Modelling 267:39-47. Abstract

Yackulic, C., R. Chandler, E. F. Zipkin, J. A. Royle, J. D. Nichols, E. H. C. Grant, and S. Veran. 2013. Presence-only modeling using MAXENT: when can we trust the inferences? Methods in Ecology and Evolution 4(3):236-243. Abstract

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Michael Runge

Email: mrunge@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Modeling, Estimation, and Adaptive Management of Golden and Bald Eagle Fatalities on Wind Facilities

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John Sauer

Email: jrsauer@usgs.gov

Website: http://www.pwrc.usgs.gov/bbs/

     http://www.stateofthebirds.org/

Areas of Study

Evaluation of Representativeness of Sampling of the North American Breeding Bird Survey

Population Change and Abundance of Black Ducks and Mallards in Eastern North America

Design and Analysis of Surveys for Estimation of Temporal and Spatial Change in Animal Populations

Estimating Trend and Detection Probability Using Data from the Breeding Bird Survey

Publications

Bled, F., J. Sauer, K. Pardieck, P. Doherty, and J. A. Royle. 2013. Modeling Trends from North American Breeding Bird Survey Data: A Spatially Explicit Approach. PLOS ONE 8(12):e81867. Abstract

Mattsson, B. J., E. F. Zipkin, B. Gardner, P. J. Blank, J. R. Sauer, and J. A. Royle. 2013. Explaining local-scale species distributions: Relative contributions of spatial autocorrelation and landscape heterogeneity for an avian assemblage. PLoS ONE 8(2):e55097. Abstract

Millsap, B. A., G. S. Zimmerman, J. R. Sauer, R. M. Nielson, M. Otto, E. Bjerre, and R. Murphy. 2013. Golden eagle population trends in the western united states: 1968-2010. Journal of Wildlife Management 77(7):1436-1448. Abstract

Sauer, J. R., P. J. Blank, E. F. Zipkin, J. E. Fallon, and F. W. Fallon. 2013. Using multi-species occupancy models in structured decision making on managed lands. Journal of Wildlife Management 77(1):117-127. Abstract

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Jeff Spendelow

Email: jspendelow@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Modeling Sex-Specific Demographic Rates in Metapopulations

Publications

Palestis, B. G., I. C. T. Nisbet, J. J. Hatch, P. Szczys, and J. A. Spendelow. 2012. Morphometric sexing of Northwest Atlantic Roseate Terns. Waterbirds 35(3):479-484. Abstract

Watson, M. J., J. A. Spendelow, and J. J. Hatch. 2012. Post-fledging brood and care division in the roseate tern (Sterna dougallii). Journal of Ethology 30(1):29-34. Abstract

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H. Brian Underwood

Email: hbunderwood@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Estimation of Density and Abundance of Biological Populations on National Parks and Wildlife

Publications

Haase, C. G. and H. B. Underwood. 2013. Integrating thermal constraints into habitat suitability for moose in the Adirondack State Park, New York. Alces 49:49-64. Abstract

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Nimish B. Vyas

Email: nvyas@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Managing Free-Roaming Cats at the Patuxent Research Refuge

Publications

Borges, S. L., N. B. Vyas, and M. C. Christman. 2013. The Influence of Study Species Selection on Estimates of Pesticide Exposure in Free-Ranging Birds. Environmental Management Online Early October Abstract

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