Patuxent Wildlife Research Center

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Michael Runge

Email: mrunge@usgs.gov

Areas of Study

Adaptive Management for Threatened and Endangered Species

Grassland Breeding Birds on National Wildlife Refuges in the Northeast U.S

Harvest Theory for Age-Structured Populations: Atlantic Population Canada Geese

Integrated Waterbird Management and Modeling

Integrating Habitat and Harvest Management for Northern Pintail

Modeling, Estimation, and Adaptive Management of Florida Manatees

Modeling, Estimation, and Adaptive Management of Golden and Bald Eagle Fatalities on Wind Facilities

Structured Decision Making

Structured Decision Making: Methods, Applications, and Capacity-Building

Publications

2013

Converse, S. J., C. T. Moore, M. J. Folk, and M. C. Runge. 2013. A matter of tradeoffs: Reintroduction as a multiple objective decision. Journal of Wildlife Management 77(6):1145–1156. Abstract

Regan, T. J., B. L. Taylor, G. G. Thompson, J. F. Cochran, K. Ralls, M. C. Runge, and R. Merrick. 2013. Testing decision rules for categorizing species' extinction risk to help develop quantitative listing criteria for the U.S. Endangered Species Act. Conservation Biology 27(4):821–831. Abstract

Runge, M. C. 2013. Active adaptive management for reintroduction of an animal population. Journal of Wildlife Management 77(6):1135–1144. Abstract

Runge, M. C., J. B. Grand, and M. S. Mitchell. 2013. Structured decision making. Pages 51-72 in Paul R. Krausman and James W. Cain, editors. Wildlife Management and conservation: Contemporary principles and practices. Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, Maryland. 360 pp. Abstract

Thogmartin, W. E., C. A. Sanders-Reed, J. A. Szymanski, P. C. McKann, L. Pruitt, R. A. King, M. C. Runge, and R. E. Russell. 2013. White-nose syndrome is likely to extirpate the endangered Indiana bat over large parts of its range. Biological Conservation 160:162-172. Abstract

2012

Marcot, B. G., M. P. Thompson, M. C. Runge, F. R. Thompson, S. McNulty, D. Cleaves, M. Tomosy, L. A. Fisher, and A. Bliss. 2012. Recent advances in applying decision science to managing national forests. Forest Ecology and Management 285(1):123-132. Abstract

Mattsson, B. J., M. C. Runge, J. H. Devries, G. S. Boomer, J. M. Eadie, D. A. Haukos, J. P. Fleskes, D. N. Koons, W. E. Thogmartin, and R. G. Clark. 2012. A modeling framework for integrated harvest and habitat management of North American waterfowl: Case-study of northern pintail metapopulation dynamics . Ecological Modelling 225:146-158. Abstract

McCarthy, M. A., D. P. Armstrong, and M. C. Runge. 2012. Adaptive management of reintroduction. Pages 256-289 in John G. Ewen, Doug P. Armstrong, Kevin A. Parker, and Philip J. Seddon, editors. Reintroduction Biology: Integrating Science and Management. Conservation science and practice series. Wiley-Blackwell, Hoboken, NJ. xxv, 499 pp. Abstract

Moore, C. T., S. J. Converse, M. J. Folk, M. C. Runge, and S. A. Nesbitt. 2012. Evaluating release alternatives for a long-lived bird species under uncertainty about long-term demographic rates. Pages S339-S353 in Michael Schaub and William L. Kendall, editors. Proceedings EURING Analytical Conference 2009: Estimation, modelling and conservation of vertebrate populations using marked individuals. Journal of Ornithology 152(Supplement 2) Abstract

Moore, J. L. and M. C. Runge. 2012. Combining structured decision making and value-of-information analyses to identify robust management strategies. Conservation Biology 26(5):810-820. Abstract

2011

Conroy, M. J., M. C. Runge, J. D. Nichols, K. W. Stodola, and R. J. Cooper. 2011. Conservation in the face of climate change: The roles of alternative models, monitoring, and adaptation in confronting and reducing uncertainty. Biological Conservation 144(4):1204-1213. Abstract

Converse, S. J., K. J. Shelley, S. Morey, J. Chan, A. LaTier, C. Scafidi, D. T. Crouse, and M. C. Runge. 2011. A decision-analytic approach to the optimal allocation of resources for endangered species consultation. Biological Conservation 144(1):319-329. Abstract

Johnson, F. A., D. R. Breininger, B. W. Duncan, J. D. Nichols, M. C. Runge, and B. K. Williams. 2011. A Markov decision process for managing habitat for Florida scrub-jays. Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management 2(2):234-246. Abstract , PDF

Martin, J., P. L. Fackler, J. D. Nichols, B. C. Lubow, M. J. Eaton, M. C. Runge, B. M. Stith, and C. A. Langtimm. 2011. Structured decision making as a proactive approach to dealing with sea level rise in Florida. Climatic Change 107(1-2):185-202. Abstract

Martin, J., P. L. Fackler, J. D. Nichols, M. C. Runge, C. L. McIntyre, B. L. Lubow, M. C. McCluskie, and J. A. Schmutz. 2011. An adaptive-management framework for optimal control of hiking near Golden Eagle nests in Denali National Park. Conservation Biology 25(2):316-323. Abstract

McDonald-Madden, E., M. C. Runge, H. P. Possingham, and T. G. Martin. 2011. Optimal timing for managed relocation of species faced with climate change. Nature Climate Change 1(5):261-265. Abstract

McGowan, C. P., M. C. Runge, and M. A. Larson. 2011. Incorporating parametric uncertainty into population viability analysis models. Biological Conservation 144(5):1400-1408. Abstract

McGowan, C. P., M. R. Ryan, M. C. Runge, J. J. Millspaugh, and J. F. Cochrane. 2011. The role of demographic compensation theory in incidental take assessments for endangered species. Biological Conservation 144(2):730-737. Abstract

Moore, C. T., C. J. Fonnesbeck, K. Shea, K. J. Lah, P. M. McKenzie, L. C. Ball, M. C. Runge, and H. M. Alexander. 2011. An adaptive decision framework for the conservation of a threatened plant. Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management 2(2):247-261. Abstract , PDF

Moore, J. L., M. C. Runge, B. L. Webber, and J. R. U. Wilson. 2011. Contain or eradicate? Optimizing the management goal for Australian acacia invasions in the face of uncertainty. Diversity and Distributions 17(5):1047-1059. Abstract

Probert, W. J. M., C. E. Hauser, E. McDonald-Madden, M. C. Runge, P. W. J. Baxter, H. P. Possingham, and H. P. Possingham. 2011. Managing and learning with multiple models: Objectives and optimization algorithms. Biological Conservation 144(4):1237-1245. Abstract

Runge, M. C. 2011. An introduction to adaptive management for threatened and endangered species. Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management 2(2):220-233. Abstract

Runge, M. C., E. Bean, D. R. Smith, and S. Kokos. 2011. Non-native fish control below Glen Canyon Dam - Report from a structured decision-making project. Open-File Report 2011-1012. U.S. Geological Survey. vi, 75 pp. Abstract

Runge, M. C., S. J. Converse, and J. E. Lyons. 2011. Which uncertainty? Using expert elicitation and expected value of information to design an adaptive program. Biological Conservation 144(4):1214-1223. Abstract

Tyre, A. J., J. T. Peterson, S. J. Converse, T. Bogich, D. Miller, M. Post van der Burg, C. Thomas, R. Thompson, J. Wood, D. C. Brewer, and M. C. Runge. 2011. Adaptive management of bull trout populations in the Lemhi Basin. Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management 2(2):262-281. Abstract , PDF

2010

Burgman, M. A., B. A. Wintle, C. A. Thompson, A. Moilanen, M. C. Runge, and Y. Ben-Haim. 2010. Reconciling uncertain costs and benefits in Bayes nets for invasive species management. Risk Analysis 30(2):277-284. Abstract

Hunter, C. M., H. Caswell, M. C. Runge, E. V. Regehr, S. C. Amstrup, and I. Stirling. 2010. Climate change threatens polar bear populations: a stochastic demographic analysis. Ecology 91(10):2883-2897. Abstract

Martin, J., A. F. O'Connell, Jr., W. L. Kendall, M. C. Runge, T. R. Simons, A. H. Waldstein, S. A. Schulte, S. J. Converse, G. W. Smith, T. Pinion, M. Rikard, and E. F. Zipkin. 2010. Optimal control of native predators. Biological Conservation 143(7):1751-1758. Abstract

McDonald-Madden, E., W. J. M. Probert, C. E. Hauser, M. C. Runge, H. P. Possingham, M. E. Jones, J. L. Moore, T. M. Rout, P. A. Vesk, and B. A. Wintle. 2010. Active adaptive conservation of threatened species in the face of uncertainty. Ecological Applications 20(5):1476-1489. Abstract

Morgan, M. R., C. Norment, and M. C. Runge. 2010. Evaluation of a reproductive index for estimating productivity of grassland breeding birds. Auk 127(1):86-93. Abstract

Rice, M. B., D. A. Haukos, J. A. Dubovsky, and M. C. Runge. 2010. Continental survival and recovery rates of northern pintails using band-recovery data. Journal of Wildlife Management 74(4):778-787. Abstract

Wintle, B. A., M. C. Runge, and S. A. Bekessy. 2010. Allocating monitoring effort in the face of unknown unknowns. Ecology Letters 13(11):1325-1337. Abstract

2009

Martin, J., M. C. Runge, J. D. Nichols, B. C. Lubow, and W. L. Kendall. 2009. Structured decision making as a conceptual framework to identify thresholds for conservation and management. Ecological Applications 19(5):1079-1090. Abstract

Runge, M. C., J. R. Sauer, M. L. Avery, B. F. Blackwell, and M. D. Koneff. 2009. Assessing allowable take of migratory birds. Journal of Wildlife Management 73(4):556-565. Abstract

Schwarz, L. K. and M. C. Runge. 2009. Hierarchical Bayesian analysis to incorporate age uncertainty in growth curve analysis and estimates of age from length: Florida manatee (Trichechus manatus) carcasses. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 66(10):1775-789. Abstract

Szymanski, J. A., M. C. Runge, M. J. Parkin, and M. Armstrong. 2009. White-nose Syndrome management: Report on structured decision making initiative. . U.S Fish and Wildlife Service, Fort Snelling, MN. 51 pp. PDF

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Last Updated: January 2014

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